Abstract - Perils and pitfalls of Aboriginal demography: Lessons learned from the RCAP projections - Aboriginal conditions: Research foundations for public policy

Article information

Title: Perils and pitfalls of Aboriginal demography: Lessons learned from the RCAP projections - Aboriginal conditions: Research foundations for public policy

Date: 2003

Author(s): Don Kerr, Eric Guimond, Mary Jane Norris

Abstract: This chapter begins with an introduction to some of the definitional issues and data sources currently involved in working with demographic data on the Aboriginal populations in Canada. This is followed by an overview of the methodology used in the Royal Commission on Aboriginal Peoples projections, along with a brief presentation of the projection results. Comparisons are made between the projected and observed population counts for 1996. There are significant differences between what the Royal Commission projected and the actual census count just five years later. These comparisons lead to a two-part discussion. In the first part, we highlight some of the methodological difficulties that are encountered, given our current knowledge, in efforts to project Aboriginal populations. In conclusion, we discuss the relevance and implications of these findings with respect to policy development.

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